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☆ Here's where Meta shares could go from here after their post-earnings sell-off, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Since February, Meta Platforms has been trending slightly higher on weaker price momentum. Since early 2023, META has experienced a period of remarkably positive price momentum. META has been trending slightly higher since February, yet the RSI has been sloping downwards. Thursday's initial gap lower dropped META right into the middle of the price gap formed in early February. This would also mean a retest of the 200-day moving average, which META has not touched since February 2023.

Persons: We'll, — David Keller Organizations: RSI, CMT

☆ Beware of a dead-cat bounce and prepare for a severe market correction by making these 6 investments now, a veteran chartmaster warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The S&P 500 is in its most perilous position since late last summer, cautioned David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. After an uptick in volatility in March 2023, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted rally before peaking on the final day of July. Related storiesIn the meantime, investors should keep a close eye on two key technical support levels for the S&P 500, Keller said: 5,050 and 4,820. Utilities are one of only two parts of the market that's up in the last month, due to its risk-off nature. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is another compelling way to ride that rally, Keller said.

Persons: —, David Keller, I'm, Keller, Stocks, StockCharts.com, they're, Keller isn't, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Utilities, StockCharts.com, VanEck Oil Services, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Miners Locations: East, Israel, Freeport

☆ A measure of the market's internal strength suggests more downside is ahead for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

One market breadth indicator suggests that we may still be in the early phases of a market decline. We had been focused on the 5050 level for the S & P 500 as a key "line in the sand" for equities. Looking back over the last two years, you'll notice the green-shaded areas in October 2022, March 2023, and October 2023 aligned well with major market bottoms. Earlier this month, the S & P 500 bullish percent index again broke below the 70% level, indicating a major market top had likely occurred. With the strength of the S & P 500 and Nasdaq 100 off the October 2023 market low, it can be tempting to treat all pullbacks as buying opportunities.

Persons: We've, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, CMT

☆ A dreaded 'death cross' chart pattern points to even more losses for this struggling software stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This week, ADBE flashed the dreaded "death cross" signal — a pattern that typically points to further downside — with the 50-day moving average crossing down through the 200-day moving average. Adobe created a classic double top pattern in January, when the stock retested the December 2023 high around $630 and failed to break above this resistance level. It's worth noting that the death cross observed this week happened only after the stock had established a clear downtrend of lower highs and lower lows. This support level, just below $500, aligns well with the September 2023 price low. Back in 2022, a similar death cross resulted in an additional 45% drop for Adobe before the eventual low was established.

Persons: ADBE, David Keller Organizations: Adobe, CMT

☆ The rally in gold could be still in the early stages, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Our review of the charts of precious metals tells us that the recent rally in gold prices could be just the early stages of a broad advance in the second quarter and beyond. Interestingly enough, gold stocks have actually been underperforming gold for most of the last 12 months. But over the last six weeks, gold miners have shown renewed strength, outperforming spot gold. This may be just the beginning of a "catch up" trade where gold miners close the performance gap with gold. Gold stocks have been lagging behind spot gold, but that trend of underperformance has begun to change in the last six weeks.

Persons: Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: Gold Miners, CMT Locations: retest

☆ The uptrend in this airline stock could be just getting started, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Alaska Air shares just getting started Alaska Air Group has recently broken above a key resistance level and could represent a compelling option for investors searching for stocks earlier on in their uptrends. Alaska remained below that retracement level as well as a declining 200-day moving average until this week. Now we're seeing ALK power above $42 with an initial upside target at the 61.8% retracement level around $47. The momentum characteristics are consistent with bullish phases, with Alaska becoming overbought this week after a quick rise. While overbought conditions could indicate a short-term pullback in the coming weeks, we're inclined to assume this uptrend could be just getting started.

Persons: we've, — David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, US Global Jets ETF, JETS, Alaska Air Group, Alaska Air, CMT Locations: Alaska

☆ This ETF tracking the housing market is undergoing a post-Fed breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-21 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The weekly chart of the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) shows how the long-term trend has become quite strong off the October 2022 low. The higher low in October was a sign of accumulation, showing that the bearish momentum going into the summer had begun to dissipate. Once this ETF broke above its July 2023 high, it traded higher to a price gap in December of last year. In this case, the homebuilder ETF resolved this pattern to the upside in late February with a break above $105. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, ITB, David Keller Organizations: Home, CMT Locations: U.S

☆ Best of CNBC Pro this week: How to trade Nvidia and alternatives to the AI juggernaut
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Pro readers flocked this week to several stories on Nvidia and other ways to play the stock's monstrous rally. The top Pro story this week was " Sell Nvidia or stick with it? Other stocks could see a lift in the coming week off the Nvidia conference including AMD, Broadcom and Oracle. How to trade Nvidia In a column Monday, Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton gave a guide to how to trade stocks that have " gone parabolic " like Nvidia and Meta. Nvidia alternatives Another top-performing Pro story this week was David Keller's on the potential breakout in Block , the parent company of Square.

Persons: Vahan Janjigian, he's, We've, Cantor Fitzgerald, C.J, Muse, Katie Stockton, Stockton, David Keller's, Keller, Stephanie Niven, Niven, BofA Organizations: CNBC Pro, Nvidia, Greenwich Wealth Management, Bank of America, NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, Oracle, Meta, KLA Corp

☆ While the rally in Nvidia stalls, this tech play is getting ready to rip, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But despite the struggles of the largest stocks in the sector, Block (SQ) appears to breaking above a key resistance level. The key with a head and shoulders pattern is to wait for the "trigger", which is when the price actually breaks through the neckline. Here we can see that the recent breakout above the neckline was preceded by a price gap higher in February. Immediately after the price gap, SQ dropped down to around $75, a level which was retested again in early March. With inverted head and shoulders breakout on the weekly chart, and clearly defined risk levels on the daily chart, Block may just be worth investors' attention.

Persons: retested, David Keller Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, CMT

☆ A veteran chartmaster calling for a continued market rally says it's time to diversify away from mega-cap growth by making these 6 investments now
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Wall Street was mostly upbeat about equities heading into 2023, though even the most bullish investment firms thought the S&P 500 would finish this year at 5,100 — a level it has exceeded already. Resisting this rally is a fool's errand, according to David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. The long-time chartmaster warned of a near-term pullback as the S&P 500 approached its previous record high but has since abandoned his cautious call. AdvertisementFast-forward to early March, and many of those mega-cap growth names remain hot, especially Nvidia and Meta. "I like that idea, at this point, of diversifying away from mega-cap growth," Keller said.

Persons: —, David Keller, chartmaster, Keller, I'm, they've, StockCharts.com Organizations: Service, Business, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Companies, Hilton, Marriott, Restaurant Brands, Burger King ., Biotechnology Locations: Burger

☆ Why Apple's recent decline may be just the beginning, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The performance of the once-dominant Magnificent 7 stocks has certainly shifted in the first quarter, with charts like Apple (AAPL) beginning to diverge from the rest of the mega-cap growth leadership names. But is the recent decline for AAPL just the beginning? Since a strong rally in the first half of 2023, Apple has essentially been in a basing pattern. The RSI has moved into the oversold range as well, which tells me to expect at least some sort of bounce off this well-established level of price support. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Apple, It's, AAPL, David Keller Organizations: Apple, Nasdaq, RSI, CMT

☆ Move over Big Tech, a new market leader could be emerging, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Biotechnology stocks have recently shown renewed strength, and improving momentum may just push these names toward the top of the leaderboard. Second, this level also represented a 38.2% retracement level based on the 2021 high and 2022 low, which is a widely followed support level based on the Fibonacci methodology. This week, IBB has bounced off that support level, making a new 52-week high as it briefly pushed above the 50% retracement level around $140. The weekly chart reinforces that biotechnology stocks may still be in the early stages of this advance, with lots of daylight between current levels and the 2021 highs. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: IBB, David Keller Organizations: Biotechnology, Nasdaq Biotechnology, CMT

☆ These 3 gambling stocks are primed for strong gains ahead, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

While the major equity averages were rallying off their October 2023 lows, many gambling names did not participate in the rally. DraftKings (DKNG) DKNG certainly has the most established uptrend in the group, having sustained a fairly consistent uptrend through much of 2023. Higher highs and higher lows have marked the next 14 months, forming a classic Dow Theory uptrend. The October 2023 low was noteworthy in that the stock found support right at the August low around $26. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) WYNN has undergone a similar reversal off a December 2023 low, and also has recently broken above the crucial 200-day moving average.

Persons: DraftKings, DKNG, we've, Wynn, WYNN, LVS, David Keller Organizations: Las Vegas Sands, Wynn Resorts, Nasdaq, Dow, Vegas Sands, RSI, WYNN, CMT Locations: Las Vegas, DraftKings, Vegas

☆ Traders should be worried if they're holding this Magnificent 7 member, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The cup-and-handle (also known as a cup-with-handle) pattern occurs when you have a rounded basing pattern after a rally phase. Then, in December 2023, both stocks retested their July peak, which formed the cup of this pattern. If this level would fail to hold, then we'll have one more Magnificent 7 stock in a confirmed bearish phase. What concerns me most about these patterns popping up is not just that it suggests caution for these two technology stocks, which I believe it does. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: MCHP, David Keller Organizations: Nvidia Corp, Tesla Inc, Apple Inc, Apple, Technology Inc, Technology, David Keller https

☆ S&P 500's run to 5,000 masking some serious issues lurking beneath, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This chart shows the percent of S & P 500 members above their 200-day moving average (second panel) as well as the percent of S & P 500 members above their 50-day moving average (bottom panel). Lack of breadth support So as the S & P 500 tests 5000 this week, how confident should we be about further upside for stocks? This would indicate that about 40% of the S & P 500 members had broken below their own 50-day moving average, in other words, a serious lack of breadth support. In each of these three instances, the S & P 500 moved even lower before eventually finding its footing and bouncing back higher. One key difference this time around is that the S & P 500 itself is moving higher.

Persons: David Keller Organizations: David Keller https

☆ Apple is losing momentum ahead of earnings, reducing chances of a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Of the mega-cap growth stocks, Apple (AAPL) has certainly been a bit of a technical outlier in recent months. That downtrend in Q2 began with a gap below the 50-day moving average in early August and continued with a number of failed attempts to regain that 50-day moving average on the way down. Chart suggests exhaustion Over the last three months, Apple has basically bounced back and forth between retests of the July high of around $198 and the 200-day moving average. This bearish momentum divergence suggests exhaustion of upside momentum and leaves me skeptical of further upside here. Key levels to watch include the 200-day moving average around $182, as well as the January swing low around $180.

Persons: AAPL, I'm, we've, it's, David Keller Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Meta, David Keller https

☆ This popular ETF that's also a barometer for the economy is in danger of breaking down
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

From the October 2023 low to the end of last year, the ITB soared higher, gaining over 40% in value in just two months. Interest rates moving lower certainly helped this upside momentum, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping from 5.0% to 3.8% during this period. This is where price is moving higher, but the RSI is sloping down. ITB YTD mountain ITB, YTD Technical analysis pioneer Charles Dow taught us that an uptrend is a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: we're, Charles Dow, David Keller Organizations: Construction, RSI, Inc, David Keller https Locations: Horton

☆ S&P 500 breaks out to new record, but some chart analysts are worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 finally surpassed its prior all-time high from January 2022 on Friday, confirming the start of a new bull market that began in October 2022. But while the market continued to build on those gains early Monday, some technical analysts are worried that cracks are beginning to show in the broad market index. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 in the last 12 months BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky forecasts a pullback for the S & P 500 before it reaches the key 5,000 level, or just around 3.5% above current prices. Around 73% of the S & P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, down from more than 90% in late December, according to David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. "New index highs lead to fatigue," said Roth Capital Partners chief market technician JC O'Hara.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, David Keller, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, There's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, pullbacks, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Downside, Capital Partners Locations: Japan, Brazil, India, U.S, China, Europe

☆ The chartmaster who predicted the robust year-end rally shares when the S&P 500 will break through the 5,000 milestone — and outlines a 4-part investing blueprint for a disappointing pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Just over two months ago, the S&P 500 was at a breaking point. After Keller's call, the S&P 500 rose nearly 6% in six weeks. The S&P 500 was stuck in purgatory for weeks, barely budging from the 4,769 level at which it entered 2024. David Keller, StockCharts.comExpect the S&P 500 to heat up heading into the summerDespite stocks' shaky near-term prospects, Keller believes their medium-term outlook is rosy. In all likelihood, Keller said the S&P 500 will regain momentum after a near-term hiccup and push toward the 5,000 milestone in April, May, or June.

Persons: David Keller, naysayers, Keller, it'll, StockCharts.com, that's Organizations: Business, Nvidia, Devices, AMD, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: StockCharts.com

☆ As S&P 500 flirts with a new record, three indicators point to a pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After reaching the 4,700 level in mid-December, the S & P 500 has essentially been rangebound between 4,700 and 4,800. While the S & P 500 has remained rangebound, the NYSE advance-decline line (second panel) has already broken to a new swing low. The next panel shows the percentage of S & P 500 members that are trading above their 50-day moving average. Finally, we have the S & P 500 Bullish Percent Index, which reveals the percentage of S & P 500 members that are currently showing a bullish signal on their point & figure charts. I'd need to see a breakdown below S & P 500 4,450 before I'd begin to really question that thesis.

Persons: We've, I'd, David Keller Organizations: NYSE, Nasdaq, David Keller https

☆ Health-care stocks are back in favor and these 3 names could lead the rally, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

I was surprised this week to note the large number of health-care names represented on the new highs list. Here are three stocks in the health-care sector that could provide further upside potential based on their improving technical characteristics. That all changed in November, when BSX finally broke above this well-established resistance level, pushing into the upper $50s this month. From November 2022 to June 2023, AMGN dropped from around $295 to $215, shedding about 27% of its value in just seven months. With any breakouts like this one, it's important to watch the previous resistance level which often serves as price support going forward.

Persons: I've, BSX, Stryker, SYK, AMGN, David Keller Organizations: Boston, Stryker Corp, Inc, David Keller https

☆ A chartmaster who called the last market downturn shares why stocks could soar to new record highs by year-end — and lists 4 investments that will build on recent momentum
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

"It depends a lot on interest rates, and if they can remain where they're at, I think that's certainly a possibility," Keller said in a recent interview with Insider. Speaking of spot-on, Keller predicted in mid-September that the S&P 500 would fall to 4,100 if it broke below 4,350. "And a lot of S&P stocks are still down on the year, but that seems like it's starting to change." Its relative performance is also lacking , as the S&P 500 is up 17.3% in that span. Below are charts from Keller showing the strong technical setups of the S&P 500 and the four investments that he's especially bullish on now.

Persons: David Keller, Keller, it's, what's, Rowe Price, Russell, that's, Keller isn't, I'm, Don't, we're, he's Organizations: Business

☆ Buy these 5 high-upside stocks now before they pop, according to a 15-year investing veteran — including one that could soar over 50% by Halloween
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Like other technical analysts, Salama sees wisdom in mirroring the crowd, but trend-following indicators can also provide crucial contrarian buy or sell signals. Stocks have downward momentum, and the SPY just fell through the 434 level, which Salama said was key technical support. The value of the SPY is roughly one-tenth that of the S&P 500, so that corresponds to a break below 4,344 for the index. The SPY, a popular ETF mirroring the S&P 500, is oversold, according to the RSI (in blue). 5 high-upside stocks to buy nowAfter outlining his market outlook, Salama shared five stocks he's bullish on right now and gave a price target for each.

Persons: John Salama, he's, Salama, it's, they've, he'd, David Keller, Salama doesn't Organizations: Maverick, RSI, Trust, Wall Street, Bloomberg

☆ Goldman Sachs: Buy these 22 stocks that will continue to outperform as higher interest rates worsen the September selloff
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Stocks have slipped in September as interest rates, bond yields, and oil prices increase. The Federal Reserve plans to keep interest rates high to stop persistent inflation. Here are 22 stocks that Goldman Sachs believes are well-positioned to benefit from elevated rates. There are several serious threats to US stocks right now, including high interest rates, as well as rising bond yields and oil prices. Each was addressed in a September 22 note from David Kostin, the chief US equity strategist at Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Keller, David Kostin Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Buy the dip in Nvidia and make these 5 other investments now while stocks struggle, according to a long-time chart guru who called last month's market pullback
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A bearish head-and-shoulders pattern has formed in the S&P 500, Keller said in a recent interview with Insider. The S&P 500 is in a head-and-shoulders pattern and could soon fall to around 4,100. His early August warning that stocks will slide was correct, though the S&P 500 didn't give up as much of its summer rally as the chart guru predicted. Outside of technology, Keller likes stocks in the utilities and energy sectors — specifically those in the oilfield services industry. The recent rebound of utilities, a defensive stalwart, is another signal that more market downside is likely ahead, Keller said.

Persons: chartmaster David Keller, Keller, StockCharts.com, we've, David Keller, Keller's, he's, it's, Keller didn't Organizations: Labor, Nvidia, Utilities, Energy, VanEck Oil Services

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